Sumary of England’s Covid vaccine programme could slow sharply, Sage says:
- A modelling paper produced for the Sage scientific advisory committee said the pace of England vaccination programme could be squeezed to 2.7m a week until the end of July, leaving little surplus for first doses until tens of millions of second doses had been administered..
- The projections form part of the model, published on Monday, used by academics from Imperial College London and Warwick University to estimate how coronavirus could spread as restrictions are progressively unlocked by the government..
- Ministers have consistently refused to spell out how much of either the Pfizer or AstraZeneca vaccines will be available in future, leaving the officially sanctioned projections cited in modelling papers as the best available public predictions..
- Ministers had also hoped to import 5m doses of the AstraZeneca vaccine from the Serum Institute in India to boost UK supply in the coming weeks..
- Adar Poonawalla said the company, the world largest vaccine maker, has “chosen to prioritise India temporarily for two months”.
- Although the figures cited are for England, the supply of vaccines is spread around the UK on a population-based formula and the impact on the other nations will therefore be the same…